descriptive claim
Aschenbrenner forecasts that the US national security state will become directly involved in frontier AI and that by 2027-2028 there will be some form of US government AGI project, on the reasoning that no startup can handle superintelligence.
desc_usg_agi_project_by_27_28
confidence 0.80
Evidence (1)
supports (1)
- SITUATIONAL AWARENESS: The Decade Ahead --- Introduction expert_estimateweight0.85
locator: Table of Contents, Section IV summary
“The USG will wake from its slumber, and by 27/28 we'll get some form of government AGI project. No startup can handle superintelligence.”