š X-risk
camp_xrisk
Alignment-maximalist coalition distinct from Anthropic's lead-seeking variant. Holds that halting capability progress must remain a live policy option; build-carefully-to-stay-ahead is not a substitute for build-only-if-safe.
Agents
- Ā· MIRI and allied alignment-first researchers
- Ā· Pause AI and capability-moratorium advocates
- Ā· x-risk-weighted fractions of EA and 80K communities
Descriptive claims held (8)
- AI capability is accelerating along compute, data, and algorithmic axes.
- Frontier AI performance scales with compute and capex.
- Training compute for frontier AI models has grown roughly 4-5x per year from 20ā¦
- Amortized hardware and energy cost of flagship training runs has grown ~2.4x anā¦
- Algorithmic progress roughly halves the compute required to reach a fixed languā¦
- The US currently leads China in frontier AI by roughly 6-18 months.
- Over 90% of leading-edge (<10nm, effectively 100% of <5nm) logic fabrication caā¦
- Enterprise and government absorption of AI capability lags the frontier by yearā¦