descriptive claim
Anthropic's AI R&D capability threshold is defined as AI compressing two years of 2018-2024 AI progress into a single year in aggregate capabilities, explicitly not as doubling researcher productivity.
desc_rsp_ai_rd_doubling_definition
confidence 0.90
Evidence (1)
supports (1)
- Anthropic's Responsible Scaling Policy primary_testimonyweight0.95
locator: April 2, 2026 update
โour language around AI doubling the rate of progress ("compress two years of 2018 โ 2024 AI progress into a single year") could have been read as... "doubling the productivity of researchers". In v3.1, we are clear that we mean the former and not the latter.โ