descriptive claim
Training AI smarter than almost all humans at almost all things will require on the order of millions of frontier chips and tens of billions of dollars, most likely in the 2026-2027 timeframe.
desc_powerful_ai_chip_threshold
confidence 0.60
Evidence (1)
supports (1)
- On DeepSeek and Export Controls expert_estimateweight0.70
locator: Export Controls section, opening bullets
“Making AI that is smarter than almost all humans at almost all things will require millions of chips, tens of billions of dollars (at least), and is most likely to happen in 2026-2027.”