Sam Altman publicly estimates superintelligence is possible within a few thousand days (~5-15 years from 2024), while acknowledging it may take longer.

supports (1)

• SThe Intelligence Age primary_testimony
  weight

  0.95

  locator: paragraph beginning 'This may turn out to be the most consequential fact'

  “It is possible that we will have superintelligence in a few thousand days (!); it may take longer, but I'm confident we'll get there.”