descriptive claim
Credible 2030 forecasts for US datacenter share of electricity consumption diverge by more than 2x --- from ~4.6% (IEA/EPRI conservative) to ~9% (Goldman Sachs, EPRI high scenario) --- reflecting genuine uncertainty, not measurement error.
desc_us_datacenter_load_forecast
confidence 0.85
Warrants (4)
supports (2)
- Powering Intelligence: Analyzing Artificial Intelligence and Data Center Energy Consumption modeled_projectionweight0.85
locator: Scenario table: 4.6%-9.1% by 2030
- 2025/2026 Base Residual Auction Results direct_measurementweight0.75
locator: 2025/2026 BRA clearing results
contradicts (1)
- Generational growth: AI, data centers and the coming US power demand surge modeled_projectionweight0.70
locator: Executive summary; 160% growth figure
qualifies (1)
- Electricity 2024 --- Analysis and Forecast to 2026 modeled_projectionweight0.80
locator: Analysing Electricity Demand; data centres chapter