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descriptive claim

Amodei frames a 'dream scenario' of 20% annual GDP growth in the developing world post-powerful-AI (10% from AI-enabled economic decisions plus 10% from technology diffusion), which would bring Sub-Saharan Africa to current China per-capita GDP within 5-10 years.

desc_amodei_dev_world_growth_target

confidence
0.60

Evidence (1)

supports (1)

  • weight
    0.85

    locator: Economic development and poverty, Economic growth bullet

    “a dream scenario --- perhaps a goal to aim for --- would be 20% annual GDP growth rate in the developing world, with 10% each coming from AI-enabled economic decisions and the natural spread of AI-accelerated technologies”

Camps holding this claim (3)